The bizarre correlation between the Tremendous Bowl and the inventory market


A very good day for the offenses on this yr’s Tremendous Bowl might imply a great yr for the inventory market is in retailer, in keeping with new information from S&P International Market Intelligence.

Tremendous Bowls through which the ultimate mixed rating was larger than 45 factors, the inventory market returns 15.9% on common, whereas returns common solely 8.2% when the mixed rating is 45 or much less.

Earlier than you go and fireplace your monetary advisor and change them with a subscription to ESPN+, it’s best to know that the dataset is considerably tongue-in-cheek. “This information is just not supposed to symbolize a elementary evaluation of market tendencies or historic information and under no circumstances is meant to be the premise for any funding selections in anyway,” writes S&P International Market Intelligence.

Nonetheless, there have been a couple of stunning correlations discovered between previous Tremendous Bowl scores and common inventory market returns. For instance, when video games are performed west of the Mississippi River, “the common market return within the subsequent years is 9.0% versus a extra strong 14.3% when video games performed east of the Mississippi River.” Sadly for buyers, Tremendous Bowl 56 shall be performed in SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.

This yr’s matchup options the Los Angeles Rams and the Cincinnati Bengals. The Rams have one Tremendous Bowl victory underneath their belt whereas the Bengals and ‘Who Dey Nation’ are in search of their first NFL championship.

Feb 7, 2022; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) walks onto the field during the Super Bowl Opening Night Fan Rally at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

Feb 7, 2022; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) walks onto the sector throughout the Tremendous Bowl Opening Evening Fan Rally at Paul Brown Stadium. Necessary Credit score: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports activities

The Rams have compiled a number of the greatest big-name stars from the previous decade on their roster. Gamers like Professional Bowl Quarterback Matthew Stafford, All-Professional Extensive Receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Cooper Kupp headline the offense, whereas the star-studded protection consists of the likes of Jalen Ramesy, Von Miller, and three-time defensive participant of the yr Aaron Donald.

The Bengals come into the matchup as underdogs, led by third-year Head Coach Zac Taylor and second-year QB and crew captain Joe Burrow. Caesars Sportsbook designates the Rams as four-point favorites, whereas the over-under (that means the entire variety of factors Vegas thinks shall be scored) is 48.5.

Although the Los Angeles Rams benefit from enjoying of their dwelling stadium throughout Sunday’s huge recreation, they’re formally designated because the “away crew” for functions of jersey choice and official file (the AFC and NFC groups alternate ‘dwelling’ and ‘away’ standing yearly throughout the Tremendous Bowl; final yr, the NFC’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been granted dwelling standing).

“When the designated dwelling crew wins, the common market return within the subsequent yr is 16.9% versus 8.9% after a street crew win,” S&P International Market Intelligence wrote in its report. As such, buyers and not using a favourite NFL crew would possibly need to root for the Bengals for a yr of excellent luck out there

The Rams have break up time in each Los Angeles and St. Louis. Initially referred to as the Cleveland Rams, the franchise relocated to Los Angeles in 1946, moved to Saint Louis in 1995, then moved again to LA in 2015.

Jan 30, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams defensive end Aaron Donald (99) celebrates in the fourth quarter during the NFC Championship Game against the San Francisco 49ers at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Jan 30, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams defensive finish Aaron Donald (99) celebrates within the fourth quarter throughout the NFC Championship Recreation in opposition to the San Francisco 49ers at SoFi Stadium. Necessary Credit score: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports activities

Apparently, the market appears to want the LA Rams to their St. Louis counterparts, not less than within the Tremendous Bowl. Within the two Tremendous Bowls the Rams performed in whereas situated in Los Angeles, the market was up a mean of 32.0%. In the course of the two Tremendous Bowls the St. Louis Rams performed in, the common market return was a lowly -15.6%.

Correlations with inventory market apart, the NFL hopes to attract in higher viewership to this yr’s huge recreation after a disappointing end in Tremendous Bowl 55. Final yr’s Tremendous Bowl between the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had a complete viewers of 96.4 million viewers, making it the least watched Tremendous Bowl since 2006. Viewership of the massive recreation peaked throughout Tremendous Bowl XLIX in 2015 when the New England Patriots narrowly defeated the Seattle Seahawks right away basic. Over 114 million viewers tuned in to that recreation, making it essentially the most watched broadcast in American tv historical past.

Ihsaan Fanusie is a author at Yahoo Finance. Comply with him on Twitter @IFanusie.

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